论公安现役本科院校基础课改革

教育改革应当以课程改革为先导。根据培养目标的内在要求，注重师资队伍建设，发挥教师的主体作用，积极参与基础课程改革，落实基础课职称岗位制度。     

Assessing the value of demand sharing in supply chains

We consider the problem of assessing the value of demand sharing in a multistage supply chain in which the retailer observes stationary autoregressive moving average demand with Gaussian white noise (shocks). Similar to previous research, we assume each supply chain player constructs its best linear forecast of the leadtime demand and uses it to determine the order quantity via a periodic review myopic order‐up‐to policy. We demonstrate how a typical supply chain player can determine the extent of its available information in the presence of demand sharing by studying the properties of the moving average polynomials of adjacent supply chain players. The retailer's demand is driven by the random shocks appearing in the autoregressive moving average representation for its demand. Under the assumptions we will make in this article, to the retailer, knowing the shock information is equivalent to knowing the demand process (assuming that the model parameters are also known). Thus (in the event of sharing) the retailer's demand sequence and shock sequence would contain the same information to the retailer's supplier. We will show that, once we consider the dynamics of demand propagation further up the chain, it may be that a player's demand and shock sequences will contain different levels of information for an upstream player. Hence, we study how a player can determine its available information under demand sharing, and use this information to forecast leadtime demand. We characterize the value of demand sharing for a typical supply chain player. Furthermore, we show conditions under which (i) it is equivalent to no sharing, (ii) it is equivalent to full information shock sharing, and (iii) it is intermediate in value to the two previously described arrangements. Although it follows from existing literature that demand sharing is equivalent to full information shock sharing between a retailer and supplier, we demonstrate and characterize when this result does not generalize to upstream supply chain players. We then show that demand propagates through a supply chain where any player may share nothing, its demand, or its full information shocks (FIS) with an adjacent upstream player as quasi‐ARMA in—quasi‐ARMA out. We also provide a convenient form for the propagation of demand in a supply chain that will lend itself to future research applications. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 515–531, 2014     

舰炮火控雷达实测误差时序特性分析建模

针对舰炮火控雷达高精度实时仿真建模的问题,运用高斯分布和正态平稳过程的两种误差序列生成方法,建立火控雷达简化仿真模型。通过对某火控雷达实测数据误差的统计及时序相关性分析,完成误差序列仿真生成与验证,给出了实现舰炮火控雷达探测误差仿真的优选方法。实践证明,正态平稳模型的误差生成方法可以有效满足新型舰炮仿真试验火控雷达建模要求。     

On the Determinants of Terrorism Risk Concern in Europe

We investigate whether differences in terrorism risk are mirrored on terrorism risk perception across European countries for the period 2003–2007. We find that the average propensity for terrorism risk concern is affected by actual risk levels. Country and individual heterogeneity contribute substantially to the variation of observed risk perception. Singles and individuals with white collar jobs are less likely to mention terrorism as one of the most pressing issues their country faces, while political positioning towards the right makes it more likely to be concerned about terrorism. As far as competing risks are concerned, we find that the likelihood terrorism is mentioned, decreases with spending on pensions as a percentage of GDP being higher. Finally, based on the Bayesian framework, we also examined the formation of terrorism risk perceptions, and decompose the observed country-level time series of terrorism activity into a long- and a short-run component. We concluded that the observed risk perception variation is only explained by the long-term trend of terrorism activity countries face.     

军事法基市原则的反思与重构

军事法的基本原则是军事法律规范规律性的体现 ,是军事法制定的基础 ,是军事法适用的准则。军事法基本原则的概念及其特征如何 ?军事法基本原则的体系如何构建 ?军事法应该包括哪些基本原则 ?军事法的每个原则的具体内涵应该是什么 ?这些都是值得军事法学界予以关注和探讨的重大学术问题     

全球信息栅格的产生和实现技术研究

介绍了全球信息栅格的概念与定义,详细论述了全球信息栅格产生与发展的动因、实现技术的研究现状.介绍了研究与实现全球信息栅格的关键技术、基础理论,重点论述了实现全球信息栅格总体架构的有关内容.     

维和警察应具备的基本素质探析

随着国际形势的不断变化,维和工作也日益复杂,对维和警察的基本素质提出更高的要求,在这种需求的基础上特提出了“一要、二增强、六懂、六会、五掌握”的训练要求。     

应用D-S证据理论进行多传感器雷达体制识别

在阐述Dempster-Shafer(D-S)证据理论的基础上,较系统地论述了基于D-S证据理论的多传感器雷达体制识别的数据融合方法,并给出了具体的识别实例。实验结果证明了基于多传感器融合后的识别结果明显优于单传感器的识别结果,说明了D-S证据理论的有效性和先进性。     

一种基于串联谐振型变换器的激光电源设计

激光器电源是激光器装置的重要组成部分,其泵浦方式分为光激励、放电激励、能量激励等,均必须配有相适应的供电电源。基于脉冲式固体激光器中负载是气体放电器件的激光电源,设计了一种带有预燃放电功能的半桥LCC串联谐振逆变电路,可实现每次点灯不必使用高压触发脉冲,避免触发高压的电磁辐射干扰。使得当灯处于低阻状态时,电容器上的能量能更有效地转换成光能。整体电源设计结构简单,可靠性高,可满足激光器对电源稳态工作的要求,在应用预燃电路后,激光输出能量可提高10%。     

Fe~(3+)与S~(2-)反应的研究

Fe3+ 与S2 - 反应是一个典型的竞争反应 ,反应的生成物与反应条件有着非常密切的关系。通过理论研究和实验验证 ,确认在酸性介质中反应的生成物为Fe3+ 和单质S↓ ;在碱性介质中反应的生成物为黑色Fe2 S3↓。